It’s Early, But Democratic Nomination is Biden’s to Lose

Joe Biden has been in politics for more than 50 years.  Everyone knows “Uncle Joe.”

With incredible name recognition and the permanent title of former Vice President, Biden shot to the top of the polls when he announced his candidacy for the Democratic presidential nomination.

But then something interesting happened: His lead over the other 21 candidates increased.

As SF Gate reports:

The Democratic race is far from a two-person contest, as the other candidates will attest. At this point, however, Biden and Sanders stand above the pack. But what’s happened since Biden announced is a widening of the gap between him and the senator from Vermont. On the day Biden announced his candidacy, the RealClearPolitics average of national polls showed him at 29% and Sanders at 23%. As of Thursday, Biden’s average was 41% and Sanders’ average was at 15%, based on a sample of five polls.

Everyone else vying for the top job stands behind those two, who between them sew up 56% of those polled.  What’s more, Sanders supporters often list Biden as their alternative, and Biden’s supporters list Sanders.

That makes the distance between those two and the rest of the field even bigger.

And that’s a problem.

The Democrats are hanging their hats on identity politics, calling for evermore select groups drawn from lines of race, gender, gender identity, and age to vote certain ways.  The move might generate some level of support for a certain candidates, but it risks alienating voters if the eventual candidate doesn’t fit their vision of what the next president should be.

This might lead some segments of Democrats to skip the general election.

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  1. Jim

    biden has zero chance so it doesnt even matter

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