Yes, let’s concede the obvious point. If voters are undecided, then how can anyone have a “lead” among them? It’s a good question. The pollsters asked if the voters had to choose today to get an answer.
We already know that Democratic candidate Joe Biden is ahead of President Donald Trump by 8%, with 46% of registered voters saying they will vote for Biden and just 38% claiming they will vote for Trump. This might be misleading, because it has always appeared that many people support Trump but are unwilling to say that, even to a polling company.
But then there are the undecided voters or those who are considering a third-party candidate, a whopping 16% of the electorate. This group is more than big enough to swing the election.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that within that group 61% would vote for Biden if they had to choose between the two main party candidates, while only 39% would vote for Trump. A whopping 70% of the group say they disapprove of Trump’s performance in office.
The poll revealed that only 38% of registered voters approve of Trump’s handling of the virus, and the number drops to just 20% among undecided voters.